I cannot believe the year is almost over and we are at Thanksgiving already.  Time flies by when you are on a runaway train as I have for the last 6 weeks.  But, Thanksgiving gives us that opportunity to pause and think about where we are in life, in the world and a whole lot of other people.  Be thankful for what we have , have been able to accomplish and for those in our lives that make things better.  Spend the weekend with friends – relax, avoid the fast lane and get ready for the rest of the year!

I am planning a great dinner with family and friend s – picked up a fresh turkey this morning.  And it feels a little Thanksgiving-like – a cool front pushed through immediately after I got home with the bird and the temperatures dropped into the low 60s.  Chilly, cool – it is south Florida’s version of Fall.  Enjoy it while it lasts!


A solemn thought to keep in mind – our veterans go and do things that most of us cannot imagine – no movie or show or description can replicate the battlefield or a fire fight.  No movie, story, newsreel or other after-the-fact replication can truly replicate the feelings that occur, the desperation they see or the uncertainty they face.  Whether current or past, volunteer or conscripts, our veterans are people like the majority of us, who went to a place where people want to kill them, and allowed themselves to be shot at to keep those people from killing us, to protect our interests and freedoms.   We are losing many or our older vets – those that fought in two world wars, Korea and Vietnam.   My Dad was one, so was my grandfather and a couple uncles.  When they go, the reality of war is lost and cannot be recreated.  We have a new group – Vietnam, Iraq, Kuwait, Afghanistan, and more who have lived new fights.  In all cases, they all did their jobs as they were directed to do by our government.  Talk to a vet.  Understand the terror of people trying to kill you.  Understand the changes that can occur in them, realizing you cannot relive their experience. Listen, and most of all – thank a vet!

Click this link. My dad is second from the right in the back row – B17 Crew i England. 1943

aaf_crew_photo_frnt


I have co-authored a new book for our senior design class sequence.  The book will be out in the early part of 2015.  Just in time for students to pick up a copy to help them with their capstone design class.  The book is titled Practical Concepts for Capstone Design Engineering and is published by JRoss Publishing.  We hope this will be useful for students, but it is not a book solely focused on the capstone class.  As this class was developed, the original intent was to construct it around the actual design process that consultants go through to deliver projects.  So the students start out with how to get work, the site selection, site planning and building planning processes, before they ever get to the design part.  That due diligence in necessary to insure that you have sorted out all the details that might impact your design.  As a result, we think that this may be a useful reference for professional, especially young professionals who want to know about site plans, floor plans, environmental site assessments, codes, green building, floor planning and communicating your vision.  Coming soon to Amazon.com.

At some point in early 2015, the AWWA manual M63 on aquifer storage and recovery will also be out.  It is the first AWWA manual devoted to the subject. Amazon.com or AWWA bookstore for that one.

 


“If the assumption of all economists, government officials and investors is that the population must increase exponentially, what does that suggest for our future?” was a question asked a few days back.  Did you ponder this at all?  I suggest we should and here is why.  An exponential growth rate assumes a certain percent increase every year.  That means the increase in population is greater the farther out you go.  That doesn’t really make sense except perhaps at one point in Las Vegas (but not anymore).  The economy cannot really expand at a rate greater than the expansion of the population because there is no one to buy the goods or increase the demand, which is why increasing the US population is going to be viewed favorably by all politicians regardless what they say today.  House values do not increase faster than population increase unless they are in a bubble, nor does the stock market really (inflation adjusted).  Your water sales will not increase faster than your system’s population increase for any extended period of time either, so an assumption of ever increasing water sales is likely to be an overestimation sooner as opposed to later.  And then what – you have to raise rates, and keep raising rates to keep up because your demands are too low?

And what if your growth stagnates, or goes backwards as many did in 2009/2010?  That was a severe problem for most entities, causing layoffs and higher prices, pay cuts and deferral of needed improvements, mostly because no one had reserves because people thought the good times would roll on forever.  Layoffs, price hikes, pay cuts and deferral of needed improvements do help society (of course if you had lots of reserves, you weathered the recession without a problem, but too many did not).  Keep in mind the repair, replacement, and maintenance needs, along with ongoing deterioration, do not diminish with time or lack of new customers.  We have relied on new people to add money to solve old as well as new problems for many years.  What is the contingency if growth stops?

So a growth scenario makes us feel better and more confident when we borrow funds.  But if growth does not stop, where is the water to come from?  What are the resources that will be used faster?  Where does the power come from to treat the water or cool the houses?  And the cooling water to cool those power plants?  Even renewable resources are limited – most metals and oil have likely passed their peaks as far as production and water does not always fall consistently.  We have overstressed aquifers and over allocated surface waters, especially in the west.  So while growth makes us feel good financially, we need answers to the growth scenario despite the fact that we may have more funding.  Many resources are not limitless, but an exponential growth pattern ignores this.  Locally growth maybe less of an issue, but society wise?  Maybe a societal problem, or maybe we get into extreme completion with each other.  Some how that doesn’t look like a solution either


Ray Rice gets video-taped punching out his wife in an elevator in a casino.  Wes Welker gets videotaped at the Kentucky Derby looking like he has imbibed a bit too much.  We have couple students that, well, let’s just say those photos won’t help them get jobs.  And everyday people are You-tubed doing stupid things they wouldn’t want to get caught doing.  And hackers download photos of celebrities in various states of undress that they thought were secure.  We do not understand the Cloud and we do not understand all the wires that make the internet a useful and productive tool that houses the cloud.  The internet is a great information sharing tool, but almost anything is exchangeable.  To date the internet is open to all, but the wires are owned by corporations.  If you watched the 60 Minutes episode recently with Michael Lewis as he talked about Wall street brokers gaming the stock market by using internet cabling to accelerate their access to your data (his book is Flash Boys), you should not be surprise if corporations won’t want to restrict those tools that help them, including cables and satellites.  Jim Hightower in a recent Lowdown newsletter outlines the reasons we should be watching the mergers of the large entities like Time-Warner who own and therefore control the internet connections.  They can and will impose fees for access of certain types.  Instead of equal access, those who pay can and will receive preferential connections.  They also will get access to data.  Wall Street saw the benefit of using the wiring and cloud and data sharing to their advantage, even when it is your data, so certainly these media giants know all about it.  It makes sense form a business perspective.  It works against you, me and our local water and sewer utilities who do not have the luxury of being able to pay and pay for better access.  Keep it on your radar screens – at home and at work.  Keep in mind deregulation and merger of the airlines didn’t reduce air fares or make service necessarily better.

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