School is back in session. It is a great opportunity to see what kind of great things we can learn this year. We can learn from the students as much as they learn from us. Working with college students, in bridging that connection between my real world clients and my students keeps me engaged and allows me to act as a conduit of information between the two sectors. That conduit potentially includes jobs for students and technology for clients. It is remarkable how much the skills sets of the students have changes and increased in certain areas in five years, let alone 10. I remind them that 5 years after they graduate, the skill set of the next group will be far ahead of theirs. Get your license and keep learning and staying up to date with technology. It is far too easy to get behind and it is surprising how many graduates figure they are done with learning when the graduate. Far from it. The advances and changes in the industry move so quickly. All my students are doing 3 dimensional projects versus cad drawings 5 years ago. And those cad drawings were so far above the cad drawings of ten years ago. All three groups are ahead of a lot of engineering firms with respect to technology. And there accompanying utilities as well. My students make great interns for GIS – it comes naturally to them. My older friends? Well, let’s say there is a bit of a learning curve. As we try to be more efficient, training and skill development become continuous exercises. It is obvious when you compare skill sets of recent, current or older graduates. Of course skill sets may not translate to knowledge, for there is no substitute for field experience, especially in the water and engineering fields. The reality is often much different than you expect, for a variety of reasons. How you adapt means experience. It is why the older crowd and the younger crowd need each other and need those communication avenues. I find that my teaching keeps you engaged in the changes in technology, viewpoints and the new generation while maintaining the relationships with the real world
LOCAL REVENUES BLEAK? Part 2
A new GAO report suggests that the short and long-term future for state and local revenues may be more difficult that currently anticipated, despite the economy recovering in many places. My last blog outlined a number of the problems including that many public entities chose to reduce tax rates to balance the budget as opposed to restocking reserve funds. When property values plummented and tourism and consumer buying diminished, the taxes related to all three plummented as well. None have yet returned to their pre-2008 levels. The failure to stockpile reserves caused many governments to spend down what limited reserves they had in the past 5 years as a means to avoid the hard and unpopular decision – raising taxes to collect the same revenues as before the mid-2000s cuts. Now the lack of reserves creates an issue going forward – as costs increase faster than revenues, there are no reserves to tap into. It is a problem that just keeps on giving. –
As I noted, I never like Chicken Little, because he never had a solution for the problem. There are solutions for local governments, some good and some bad. Clearly local governments need to revisit the revenue production tools. Taxes and fees will go up. Taking more money from the utility, an all too popular decision in the past 5 or more years IS NOT THE ANSWER! That just transfers the problem to the utility system and we already know that there are huge amounts of deferred maintenance and capital projects with utilities – $300 billion and counting at last count. The utility should be run as an enterprise, not as a cash cow to avoid hard political decisions. Solutions for replacing those ARRA funds and federal grants for police are needed. Just saying “We ran out of money so lay those people off” is not a solution. What that is, is poor leadership and planning – a failure to develop the investment made by the feds to better the fiscal position of the community. A lost opportunity.
There are many options. And we can lay blame at the feet of elected officials, but it does not all belong there. The citizens who elect those officials, are to blame. Most elected officials react to citizenry, not the other way around. And don’t forget the managers who bring bottom line business practice to local government management who recommend options. We’ve lost a generation of good government managers who understood the service aspect of government who have been banished in favor of the bottom line approach. We need to change this as well.
A more entrepreneurial spirit is needed. I recall a prior entity I worked for where we proposed doing lab work in our certified water lab for other utilities. That got shot down because it was “unfair to compete with the private sector for this work.” Really? That sounds like a private sector red herring. They know they will lose business, and they can’t compete. How is that in the spirit of capitalism? It cost less for other entities to have us do it? A huge missed opportunity. There are many. If we want government to operate more like a business, we need accept the opportunities that come with it, not quash them.
We need to market the community. Not just give money away hoping to attract businesses that will locate for a short while. That certainly has been a fiasco in Florida. Other places as well I am sure. No, we need to “sell ourselves.” We need to marketing program to distinguish the community, its assets, its water and sewer reliability and quality, its people, education and opportunities. It means spending money to invest in the community, not just spending money to fix a few roads and install some pavers, although they are good. It’s also not just fixing up the distressed neighborhoods, but investing in the better ones as well. The most distressed City in America is quietly encouraging new artists and startup businesses to relocate to Detroit to take advantage of the availability of warehouses, cheap rents and a talented workforce.
We need to avoid the pitfalls of falling victim to reinforcing the past. Florida’s economy is based on tourism, agriculture and building housing to attract retirees. Weird business model. Two of the three are highly susceptible to economic disruptions. We are still recovering from 2008. The economy also produces mostly minimum wage jobs, not the way to build a better tax base of encourage investment in education. The state manufactures nothing, yet fails to take full advantage of what assets it might have to create industry. As Sun-Sentinel writer Stephen Goldstein noted recently, why is it that south Florida has yet to take advantage of the private sector interest in investing in understanding age –related diseases? Much of the local economy and the two local public universities are not positioned to take a leadership role? Yet it is an easily marketed issue given the current population, assuming funds can be secured. Public investment is needed, and of course that’s the rub.
We can market ourselves. May communities have. And most deserve better than their current lot in life. Alexis de Tocqueville,” you get the government you deserve.” I think we deserve better, and I think we can do better. I think we can develop a better future and I think we can overcome challenges. So maybe it is time for to us to change the perspective!
LOCAL REVENUES BLEAK? Part 1
A new GAO report suggests that the short and long-term future for state and local revenues may be more difficult that currently anticipated, despite the economy recovering in many places. For most of the 1990s and the mid 2000s, many states and local governments operated with surpluses, or could have. Many elected officials, like those in Florida (or Congress in 2001), chose to reduce tax rates to balance the budget as opposed to restocking reserve funds. When property values plummented and tourism and consumer buying diminished, the taxes related to all three plummented as well. None have yet returned to their pre-2008 levels. In fact, the property values lag so badly, it may be 10-20 years in many jurisdictions before they return to their former selves. In South Florida’s suddenly “hot” real estate market, local officials are raving about the 28% increase in property values in 2012/2013. Sounds great until you realize that they need to increase 100% to return to pre-2008 levels. Even in a hot market it may be over 5 years to recover. So property values are not a short-term problem. Some communities may never recover. So much for saving for that rainy day.
It should be plain to all of us that the failure of those in power to stockpile reserves caused many governments to spend down what limited reserves they had in the past 5 years as a means to avoid the hard and unpopular decision – raising taxes to collect the same revenues as before the mid-2000s cuts. Now the lack of reserves creates an issue going forward – as costs increase faster than revenues, there are no reserves to tap into. It is a problem that just keeps on giving. The failure to address the root cause – the failure to set revenues collections at an appropriate level and accumulate surpluses when you are lucky enough to get them. Unfortunately the political discussion keeps going back to keeping costs down, but cuts in costs means cuts in services. Sounds great to cut the Plantation trolley because of budget needs, but what about those citizens that rely on the trolley? Or the businesses it serves. Cutting Meals on Wheels which primarily serves shut-ins is a great idea in Broward County with a hue population of elderly that find it difficult to get out of the condo? And does it really make much impact on the overall budget? Not really. There are cosmetic issues. There a more symptomatic issue here?
GAO points to health care as a cost increasing faster than the rate of increase in revenues, but the latest data seems to indicate that the rate of growth may be less than projected by those opposed to the new Health Care laws. Underfunded pensions are also a potential area of concern, but cutting employees is not the solution for that as outlined in a prior blog. Cutting employees cuts the funding for pensions which guarantees future problems. So that idea actually works against the goal of shoring up the problem. So, no that is not the answer. We are clearly paying for the sins of 15 years ago when we were awash with funds, but decided to cut or public “income.” Who does that anyway?!?!
I never like Chicken Little, because he never had a solution for the problem. Part 2 will outline some thoughts…
Aquifer Storage and Rrcovery SURvey
My apologies for being off line for a couple weeks. We finished the summer semester the first week of August, and are now gearing up for the Fall semester. Lots to do, and proposals and other projects to complete before the plunge. The most interesting project this summer has been the conclusion of a national survey of aquifer storage and recovery (ASR) projects. The concept of ASR wells is to store water underground until you need it later. If you have a utility with limited water supplies, or if you have high demands a certain part of the year but not the rest, ASR has been touted as a solution. Storage underground eliminates the evaporation losses, but the question has always been can you get the water back. The survey, which will be fully published next year, shows 204 sites. It shows only about a third are operational projects and over 50 that have been functionally abandoned. The reasons for abandoning them include metals leaching(mostly a Florida problem), the inability to recovery the water (particularly a problem in brackish aquifers), lack of capacity and trihalomethanes (a regulatory issue in a couple states). ASR was successful with limited injection rates (700 gpm) and where the aquifer was denuddded (South Carolina). Growth seems to be in the west after a lot of effort in the southeast. The road forward should prove interesting. With completion of the study it is hoped that more data can be gleaned to indicate the factors that make ASR project successful, thereby increasing the rate of success for the future.
SURVEYS TO FIND, WHAT YOU WANT TO FIND….
Jim DeMint is a smart guy. He parlayed a short stint as a Tea-Party Senator from South Carolina into a million dollar a year executive position with a conservative think tank. Then he sends out surveys to figure out where the “public” stands on certain issues. For example:
Because of uncontrolled spending, the federal government ran a $4 trillion budget deficit for 232012 and our national debt is not a staggering #16 billion. Do you want Congress to take serious action to rein in out-of-control spending? Yes or no.
Ok, first the deficit was not $4 trillion in 2012. So that’s a lie. But what are the other options? Reining in spending is not the only option, but it is the only one given. Certainly the question is most likely to get a “yes” answer which is exactly what DeMint’s organization is looking for.
Let’s look at another one.
How would you consider yourself politically: Very conservative, somewhat conservative, Independent, but lean conservative, independent, but lean liberal, somewhat liberal and very liberal.
Clearly a “you are either with us or against us” question, but one that tells you everything you need to know about Congress and politics in general. You can’t be in the middle. You can’t draw the best ideas from both sides of the aisle. Precisely the problem gripping Washington and many State capitols. No one can compromise, so we get sequestered. This type of polarization does not help America move forward nor does it help use solve problems. It increases the burden on local governments to address the problems that the failure to compromise at higher levels allow to persist, or may even create.
Increase Revenues without Raising Rates
It surprises me how many utilities ignore their meter stock. Water meters are the “cash registers” of the utility – they are how we bill our customers. Many utilities allow their meters to age without checking how much loss their may be. I have a client who regularly has issues with high unaccounted for water, which is a permit condition. Every time the issue arises, they ask me what to do. Each time I ask the Finance Department, which is responsible to for meter reading and billing, to check the number of meters with 90 days of zero readings. The past two times I had them do this the number of meters was about 10% of the system! Both times I have had them replace all 10% immediately. The result each time was to decrease the unaccounted for water amount in half (15 to 7%). In essence they received a 7% rate increase without raising rates. Yet, the Finance department NEVER runs the zero read report unless I ask them to.
This situation is all too common. Meters lose accuracy with time. Small meters lose accuracy slower than big meters, which may lose 50% of their accuracy (for low flows) within 2 years, but the small meters may not last the 15 to 20 years they are typically installed. The easy way to monitor this is to run a zero read report monthly, and to run a report to compare the water billed 12 months apart to see if the billing amount decreases significantly from year to year. Water utilities need regular meter maintenance to insure they are receiving the revenues for services delivered. But it is often too easy, or too politically difficult to spend the dollars to insure meters run accurately and to bill people appropriately. But we should ask if it is fair to bill others disproportionately to avoid fixing the meter problem?
Similarly utilities need to insure that everyone is being billed. Some cities do not charge themselves for water, which means they cannot track it adequately. Other potential users that are not metered or charged include churches, parks, and schools. There is a fairness issues associated with not billing everyone. Likewise, large losses that cannot be accounted for may be indicative of water theft. A water audit program can help identify potential water theft. Theft is an affront to all customers.
Utilities should also look at fees for services. Sometimes these have not been adjusted for years. Utilities should determine exactly what it costs to provide services like meter turn-ons, turn-offs and call outs. A couple utility clients of mine have contracted to perform services for other utilities as a mean to raise revenues without big rate increases.
Keep in mind though that rates need to increase because power, chemicals and capital needs are constantly increasing. Power, cable, telephone and other utilities increase to insure they recoup their costs. Water and sewer utilities should incorporate CPI-type increases in their rate structures to insure they can sustain ongoing operations and capital replacement programs. Insuring everyone is billed properly and the meter inventory is up-to-date insures that rate increases are limited to what is actually needed.
SEQUESTRATION HITS US ALL
Sequestration is the word we are all using to explain the failure of the Congress to put together a budget with appropriate revenues and expenditures. Congress can’t figure out how to reach a budget agreement, so the federal government set itself up for mandatory cuts in services. I had a recent grant sequestered, then cancelled. It really could have helped a local community with long-term water supply and quality problems identify adaptation and mitigation strategies fo rites future. Minor money for Washington, but a big deal down here. Likewise I have spent the last 6 months on a subcommittee for USGS that is focusing on what could be cut from USGS. That means less testing water quality, water levels in groundwater, stream gauges and less evaluation of results. Most of the water issues USGS looks at crosses local and even state lines. Since we all rely on water, this is at national concern. Precisely when we need the information most, we may be getting less. Expect to start seeing more sequestration issues.
The problem is that the biggest expenses, social security and debt, cannot be cut without major backlash in the financial and voter markets. So the cuts come from the smaller accounts – things like the federal share of state revolving funds, water research and water/wastewater programs. The community and tribal assistance account was slashed $210 million while the environmental program budget was cut $135 million. While some may be cheering EPA cutbacks, the reality for water and wastewater users is less federal assistance to our industry. That means more of the onus is on us, and on our customers. The unintended consequences of the failure of Congress to act….
COLORADO IS DRY!!
I went back to Colorado last week and it’s dry again out there. Ok, maybe not this past week when it rained a bit, but despite late snow (March to May), the forests are dry. The bark beetle problem has not made things easier, so lightning from thunderstorms can easily create fires, like the fire down in Colorado Springs or the Big Meadows fire that is ongoing in Rocky Mountain National Park. The latter has been ongoing (although fortunately mostly out) for over a month, and has closed some trails in the park. I hiked through the Fern Lake fire remnants (although virtually all the fire was around Cub Lake). That fire burned for a couple months last fall, only finally burned out in the winter after snowfall.
The west is dry and “drier than in the past” is the new normal it seems in Colorado. So now water managers are faced with three new challenges: less water, faster runoff and more difficult water to treat. The fires cause the loss of protective vegetation, which means less water is kept in the forest. As a result, the tiny, light ash particles easily run off in the rain. Ash is hard to remove without activated carbon or other advanced processes. The loss of vegetation increases runoff, which means larger sediment content in otherwise pristine water supplies. That can make a major impact on downstream water plants that may not have planned for such events. The cost of fire suppression for the last 60 years confounds the current water supply and quality problems. There are also ecological effects that may impact local economies.
All this said, I am unsure what the solution is. Clearly the climate in Colorado is changing. It is unlikely we can alter the current course any time soon. Instead we must adapt to the changes and attempt to mitigate the impacts on water supplies. Creativity, innovation and likely more infrastructure will be required. Concepts like aquifer storage and recovery are coming back to the fore as a result of the current condition. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out.
Close UP Radio # 4
Here’s the 4th in a series of radio shows I did on line. These are topics discussed:
Desalination is often argued as a water supply option. But the costs for power are significant. Power requires water. Water treatment requires power, we can’t make decisions in a vacuum.
We do have ongoing discussions about indirect and direct potable reuse of wastewater – ie toilet to tap. There are regulatory and public perception barriers, but in truth we do this in rivers every day
It is hard to define that term sustainability, and it depends on who you are and what your issues are. But water is a medium of social change as well as economic development. Too often we look at short term solutions, which frustrate long-term potential. Klamath River OR is an example.
Enjoy
REVISING OUR VIEW OF INFILTRATION GALLERIES IS SOUTH FLORIDA
A recent Rolling Stone article outlines a potentially dismal future for south Florida. I was quoted in the article and give the author a bunch of information. It is hard to write articles that “pop” in the popular press while conveying facts and figures. But I would suggest that the future is not quite as dismal as the article depicts. The sea level rise has been ongoing for at least 140 years as indicated by the Key West tidal station, the longest running tidal gauge in the world, but the amount has been 9 inches since 1920. True it appears that the sea level rise may be accelerating as a result of warming temperatures in the atmosphere that causes the oceans to expend, plus the loss of ice that runs off from glaciers, but 3 feet by 2100 seems the average or maybe the high average. That is unlikely to inundate all of south Florida, but keeping the water table low will be a challenge. I suggest that the challenge can be met and accomplish two goals. In low lying areas the impact of sea level rise is really manifested as increasing groundwater tables. An increased groundwater table means less soil storage capacity, which means smaller rainstorms will cause flooding. The increased flooding is already creating a demand by residents for solutions from local public officials. We have used exfiltration trenches (French drains) for many years, but increasing water tables will mean many of these systems will not function as they may be currently. But what if we reverse the concept? Instead of exfiltration, what if we allowed the water to infiltrate the pipe and go to a central wet well, and then pump the water out of the wet well? I further suggest that the dumping large quantities of groundwater to the ocean or canals may not be permittable as a result of high nutrients, so what if this water is instead pumped to a water plant as a raw water supply? Wouldn’t that solve two problems at once? Lots of excess fresh water supplies in an era where there are significant limitations in fresh water supplies? Just thinking…..
